IPA Institute for Political Analysis Prof. Dr. Volker von Prittwitz
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 The Policy of Regime Change Iraq - Libya - Syria - …                  
The policy of regime change has been successful - in the cases of Germany and Japan by and after World War 2. Since these extremely aggressive countries could be smashed down militarily and politically in order to avoid a totalitarian world empire. And both countries were able to (re)find and to newly develop socio-cultural and economic frames of civil success - supported by a quite fair dominant partner of redevelopment. However the US (and partly European) policies of regime change in Iraq, Libya, and Syria did not work in that way : They induced only immensable cruelties, chaos, and decline without fostering redevelopment - up to giving leeways for Islamic State and other terroristic groups. What are the differences? 1) Sadam Hussein’s, Gaddafi’s, and Bashar Assad’s governments were authoritarian, but no extremely agressively expanding regimes. They fulfilled essential functions as relatively stabil political orders.  2) The socio-cultural and economic preconditions in many Middle Eastern countries (uneven distribution of resources, primarily religious ways of identification) require mixed kinds of democracy.
3) The US policies on Iraq and Libya since the 1990s did not look at implications beyond individual points of military success (“mission completed”) - an expression of political inability. 4) Primarily, the Western, particularly US, interests are short term economical (fostering weapon exports, other export markets, oil imports). 5) The political pattern of a - necessary and possible - regime change (induced by external actors such as the US) has become an influential ideology also in European countries such as Germany - without any logical foundation. The USA are now going further on this way by the “democratic” US president Trump who is bringing democracy to Iran …leading to an even bigger war and even better export data for the US war industry.